Burnley vs Manchester City
England - Premier League 2019-2020. Dec 3rd.
Closing odds - money line
Burnley vs Manchester City 1 - 4
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No More Slip Ups for City
Manchester City are used to having big leads and winning the Premier League title. This season, they are the chasers and face an uphill battle to win a third successive title. Another poor result on Saturday left them 11 points behind leaders Liverpool and they can't afford that gap to widen much further.
For the second time this year, City came away from Newcastle having failed to get a win. At least this time they earned a point but as the Liverpool steam wagon keeps rolling on, that's just not good enough. City led twice in the game but still came away with only a 2-2 draw. Now they head for Turf Moor and just have to get three points and hope Liverpool fail to win the Merseyside derby,
The 2-2 draw was the fifth time this season that City have conceded at least twice in a Premier League game. They have just two clean sheets in their last eight league matches and that is one indication of why they find themselves with only 29 points from their 14 games.
Four league games were lost when winning the title last season, they are already one behind that mark this time around. They have a good record against Burnley though and a fourth straight clean sheet against them would put a big smile on the face of Pep Guardiola. Seven of the last eight games against Burnley have been won and only one loss since 1974.
That fine record has to continue here, especially with a tough upcoming fixture list. After this game, City face Manchester United, Arsenal, Leicester City, Wolves and Sheffield United. Not what you need when a winning run is almost a necessity.
Burnley have problems of their own and know the next few games are going to be important for them. At the time of writing this preview, they are eighth in the Premier League. They are only two points off fifth place but Southampton's win over Watford means Burnley are only six points above the drop zone.
Saturday saw Burnley lose 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace, their third home league defeat of the season. That was a disappointing result considering the last two league games had both been won 3-0. Now they face Manchester City and Tottenham in succession and Burnley tend to struggle against the top sides. Already this season, they have lost to Liverpool, Leicester City and Chelsea, scoring three and conceding nine. Throw in a 3-0 loss at Sheffield United and it's clear that they are likely to struggle in this match.
Four of their seven home league games have been won with three losses. They seem to blow hot and cold in home league games with only one draw in the last 21 played. Burnley have already conceded 20 league goals this season and Saturday was the seventh game in which at least two goals have been conceded.
Manchester City aren't quite at the point of no return yet but it's not far away. If they are to even get close to Liverpool, this is the kind of game they just have to win. City know that only too well and a win with over 1.5 goals in the game looks the likely outcome.