Arsenal vs West Ham United
England - Premier League 2019-2020. Mar 7th.
Closing odds - money line
Arsenal vs West Ham United 1 - 0
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Gunners have to keep Winning
There are 11 games left for Arsenal in the Premier League season and a lot of work to do. After their surprise Europa League exit, the Gunners have only one route to the Champions League remaining. They begin this weekend eight points behind fourth place but with a game in hand.
Arsenal are tenth in the Premier League but unbeaten in their last seven fixtures. Four of those have been drawn though and they are likely to be costly in the long run. Overall, 13 league matches have ended level with just six games lost and only Liverpool have fewer defeats.
The Gunners blew their Europa League hopes at the Emirates last week. However, home form in the Premier League is good at present . The last four home league fixtures have produced three wins and a draw with ten goals scored. They have a good recent record against West Ham with only one loss in their last nine meetings. Their last four home matches against the Hammers have all been won with seven goals scored in the last two. The reverse fixture saw the Gunners win 3-1 at the London Stadium.
If Arsenal want to get into the Champions League, they just have to keep winning games. That might not be too easy with games against Wolves, Leicester City, Tottenham and Liverpool in April/early May. Perhaps another season in the Europa League may be their main target with that kind of fixture list.
West Ham United escaped the bottom three last weekend when beating Southampton. They are only outside of the relegation zone on goal difference and staying out of it isn't going to be easy. That 3-1 home win ended a run of eight league and cup fixtures without a victory.
Their upcoming fixture list is an absolute nightmare. They have four games in a month against Arsenal, Wolves, Tottenham and Chelsea. For a side that has concede 49 league goals this season, they have a massive job on their hands to get some points over the next month.
West Ham will be hoping that Sebastien Haller might build on the goal he scored against Southampton. They need to improve their away form dramatically. Their last five away league games have all ended in defeat and they have only won three on the road. Scoring on their travels is a big problem too with just 12 scored so far in the Premier League. Only three sides in the top flight have scored less than that this season.
Not since August have West Ham managed to win two consecutive league games. They happened to be against Watford and Norwich who were both making poor starts to the season. It's tight at the bottom not just on points but goal difference too. West Ham have a 3 goal advantage over 18th placed Bournemouth, so they can't afford any heavy defeats.
Arsenal had a good win in the FA Cup on Monday (another possible route into Europe) but a very different side will contest this game. Their recent league form is good (but they need to cut those draws out) and a home win is the likely result here with over 2.5 goals scored. Both teams may score too, that's happened in four of the last seven Arsenal league games.